09-12-2023, 07:38 PM | #67 |
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Not so sure about that. The model designations have always been consistent. Obviously now they mean different things for ICE vs BEV, but 50 means the same thing in G05 and G60 PHEV/ICE. Not sure why it wouldn’t for the new 3.
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09-12-2023, 09:24 PM | #68 |
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09-13-2023, 01:27 AM | #69 | |
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I was just looking at the BMW 1H/2023 report, and it is interesting how the sales volumes are spread relatively evenly throughout the product line. I don't recall another automaker that has such an even spread.
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09-13-2023, 01:44 AM | #70 | |
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Remember that it will be a very slow ramp over many years until even 1/2 of those 300 units will have an EV. Currently, about 1% of the vehicle fleet is EV. So that apartment complex could easily get by with about 3 charging ports and a reservation system. Next year it may need 6. The year after maybe 10. In 10 years it may need 50 or so Level 2 charging ports at ~10KW each. Those chargers will have Powerpack-type batteries, that will charge during the day, when residents are away (and the solar roof is pumping), and discharge overnight when unit residents are charging their cars. There is zero technological challenges. There is a capital cost. But buildings that have charging infrastructure will command higher rents, and the utility company will be interested in meeting demand. So between the utility and building owners, I see no issue in making the capital investment. And there is no appreciable change in peak demand to the grid from those chargers. There is sooooo much time to address the issues. EVs will only hit 10% of the fleet years from now.
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09-13-2023, 10:52 AM | #71 |
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baron95
Many parking garages likely wont have 220 access and where not designed for wall outlets... who is going to pay for those upgrades ( mine has zero wall outlets over 4 stories of parking) or some 30yr old building. The only option would be to tap the hanging lights and reroute. Let alone think about a major metro in which people commute during the day then return for the bulk of charging during the 6p until 6 a.m... 80% of the cars in my 14-story high rises are gone during the day. The idea that battery storage in an apartment building or solar would be enough isn't realistic. Solar in a home doesn't make 100kw a day to charge EVs never mind these 200kw evs. Even the Telsa wall option is only 15kw of storage capacity per pack. If a garage has 700kw of charging needs your going to need 50 units to store that and 700kw would be let's say 15 average EVs. That would be a million dollars on storage which are items that will fail as it's a battery likely in 5-10yrs doing commercial grade usage. Another point is the weight of the vehicles on the garage itself. How many charging stations in the next 3 years will be obsolete? Tesla charging network works because they have not changed any of the performance metrics since day one. If they figure hey we can do 1000kw based upon new tech and charge a car in 2min safely using solid state batteries but would need a power line that runs at 1200kw. The system would need to be refreshed from start to end point. Many issues need to address but the point being.... before a force is made the system needs to be tested. Physical infrastructure needs to be updated, the power grid, the ability to charge/make, the ability for the electric energy to flow from start to end point as the tech changes hasn't been thought out. |
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09-13-2023, 01:59 PM | #72 | ||||||
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In any case, a large apartment building's roof can easily hold a 100kW system. At a conservative 200W/m2, you need 500m2 of area, or a 20m x 25m system. The average daily production of such a system in my area would be 600-800kWh, or closer to 1MWh in any southern state. The average daily commute in the US is less than 40 miles; let's double that to 80 miles to include other driving. A Model 3 consumes 250Wh/mile, which means it needs 20kWh daily charge. Most other EVs are less efficient, so let's take 30kWh per car per day. Our solar system, therefore, will be able to fully charge a fleet of 20-25 cars in a northern state, and over 30 cars in a souther state, with no grid dependency whatsoever. A battery pack for this kind of system will not be a stack of Powerwalls but a larger and more cost effective system that Tesla offers to businesses and energy storage facilities. But even with a stack of Powerwalls, at ~$8K per, you would need to spend $16K per supported car, assuming the worst case scenario of no car charging during the day, and zero grid connectivity. In reality, the battery storage needs to hold approximately half the energy required by the EV fleet. If the landlord adds $100/mo/car in rent, they will break even easily. Quote:
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09-13-2023, 03:06 PM | #73 | |
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I believe this is going to be one in which we disagree on aspects. To charge from what percentage? Americans wouldn't settle for just enough juice to fill 30-40 miles a day as an acceptable response in a major metro ( I live in a metro of over 9 million people) when you could spend 30 minutes sitting in traffic to drive 10 miles. With the idea of you (the consumer) are only allowed x amount of usage so others can get juice to share whatever amount we can produce via renewable sources in a reasonable cost system wouldn’t work here. You should witness the craziness when we have gas shortages. Its kwH, the Tesla Wall 2 which is stateside among the best battery storage. Is only 13.5kwh, Simple math if your home could produce and store 100kwh a day you would need to have 7 of these to fully charge a car from 0-100%. If you had a model s that 100kwh or a Hummer that's 200 kwh. I believe this is going to be one in which we disagree on aspects. Its kWh, the Tesla Wall 2 which is stateside among the best battery storage. Is only 13.5kwh, Simple math if your home could produce and store 100kwh a day, you would need to have 7 of these to fully charge a car from 0-100%. If you had a model s that 100kwh or a Hummer that's 200 kWh I have not seen any consumer-grade battery packs that have the capacity to store 100kwh or more. I live in a 14-story high-rise building in which the roof has a pool, outdoor patio area, BBQs and a clubhouse which is concept is probably no more than 1800 sqft of space with a clean roof. Outside of that one spot, there is nowhere else to put solar panels unless they converted sidewalk and grass space for solar which wouldn't happen as people would have nowhere to let dogs piss. My building has 400 spaces and most likely 275ish cars. Right now, maybe 20 EVs, which all are Tesla’s but zero charging stations or power outlets. Agree fully on the king-size SUVs and pickups unless you have use case In relation to home charging and solar panels watch this video.. guy presents his use case but you can see never was able to charge the car fully in all cases nor enough storage energy. Also note not all his appliances are electric so some datasets aren't represented. Last edited by DocWeatherington; 09-13-2023 at 03:11 PM.. |
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09-13-2023, 04:47 PM | #74 | |||||||
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(BTW, the scenarios you're coming up with clearly show that you have no real life experience of living with an EV.) Quote:
Again: the average commute is less than 40 miles. The average yearly mileage of a car in the US is 14,200 miles. 40 miles per day. 10-15kWh per day. Half of what I used for my calculations above. That's all the charging infrastructure needs to support. Hummer EV is an abomination that only little-penised men care about. It needs to die. Quote:
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But again: you had to watch this video, I didn't. Your view of this technology and its needs is based on your best understanding of other people's videos or descriptions. I have an actual Tesla roof on my house, an actual Tesla car in the driveway, and actual statistics of our household's energy needs in the app. I would pay attention to your M5 ownership experience. |
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09-13-2023, 06:19 PM | #75 | |
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I, we use EVs at work and the use case doesn't work for what we need as they pushed it on us. I've moved on from a M5 to a 23 M3 actually and am looking forward to the next gen hybrid M5. Also, I had an IX on order but it got stuck at port and gave me more time to get into the details and my use case. I've driven and used Tesla's and a few of other EVs. I'm not an EV hater either. I've lived in big cities, small cities and the middle of no where an use to put 20k a year on a beater and work vehicles use to do on average 300 miles a day. Again missing my point 99% of American aren't going to have a Tesla and or a solar roof. 90% of American isn't going to be able to afford a solar roof big enough to power a (that's energy efficient too) home and charge a car. The idea that solar roof is going to be enough to charge an EV is false for the average person. It maybe for 80 miles of range a day if you have the ability to store 20kwh again 90%. 90% of America isn't going to be satisfied with the current ability to charge. In his case that is true but if your in AZ with the temps which average 98 degrees in the summer and 70 degrees in the winter it's likely your not coming ahead or.... you live in the NW with tons of cloud coverage. Or the fact that you run an electric heater vs gas in the winter and have colder temps. In his use case he runs off natural gas for heat vs an electric furnace. |
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09-14-2023, 03:40 PM | #76 |
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The big question for 3 series enthusiasts looking to move to an EV, do you get the last gen of the ice cars G50, gas or EV i4 or do you dive in to the first gen of Neo class??
I assume both will be offered in the US concurrently? |
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09-15-2023, 12:53 AM | #77 | |||||
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Yes, I'm trying to be as nice as I can.
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Look. I understand you're hitting me with your best arguments now. And still they keep missing the mark because your understanding of the technology doesn't go deeper than Youtube videos or conservative propaganda. For example, if you had known better, you wouldn't have tried to use AZ or WA as "bad places" for grid independence. AZ is just obviously the perfect place for that. WA is fine, not terrible. In reality it's the East Coast, where Marques and I live, that has it worse than most places. We run ACs a lot because summers are not just hot but also humid. We still get plenty of cold days that only the newest models of heat pumps can handle (you don't want to know last winter's natural gas charges, ugh) We don't get many more sunny days than Seattle - and even when it's sunny, the haze from humidity affects solar production. We're far enough from the equator to have short winter days with sun low in the sky (rated power x cos(incidence angle)). But even here solar systems make money for their owners. |
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09-15-2023, 04:47 AM | #79 | |
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You are out of touch with reality and the basic average income and the basic American/basic person and what people are willing to invest in. Which is the majority of consumers. You are defining a high to middle-upper-class income and a smart homeowner that has a long-term investment strategy in green energy and efficiency, that will leverage all federal, state, and local programs and resources. Weighing the costs and net returns long term. The average person isn't going to take a 10yr loan out on solar on top of the 7yr loan on the EV, on top of the 30yr home loan on top of student, and credit card debt. You are making assumptions for the ideal perfect scenario which one can do an array of improvements and efficiency options I am not. I'm referring to the vast majority of people who are getting by in the current economic situation driving a basic 45k EV after rebate, living in apartments, old smaller homes, rental units, street parking, general debt, and may have a family, etc. You are correct that people can make money off solar but how many people have solar and or can afford with rebates to modify their home, apartment, condo, townhouse, row house, or even get the property management/owner to do all you mentioned above to ensure it's a positive return. But the average person/family which is the vast majority of Americans and people around the world again "use case" isn't going to do any of the above. They are going to simply rely on plugging their EVs into a standard outlet overnight and charge here and there off the public network. The average person is going to drive the average amount as you indicated, have average income and will in all likelyness have average home living and charging ability. In this conservative mindset as you called it. In an ideal world the governments would spend trillions of dollars and make e-fuels and do a continuous cycle of pulling the CO2 gases out of the air. They would produce a fuel in which all vehicles on the road today could use in which would have net zero impact on the environment which in turn we can use the current trillion dollar fuel delivering network we use today. They would figure out a way to make batteries last longer, charge faster, weigh less and use a combination of technology in hybrid systems giving the option of both for use case at no increased costs. They would ramp up nuclear power and figure out fusion reactors and a recycling method of spent energy. You are correct poor people will get left behind and I will add the vast majority of middle income will as well as net availability of cash flow they are po. |
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09-17-2023, 10:27 PM | #82 |
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01-21-2024, 01:26 PM | #83 |
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Next gen is using Cluster Architecture (CLAR) for the petrol option, while the electric one uses Neue Klasse blueprint according to this article.
https://www.bmw-sg.com/bmw-models/bm...ng/2023/09/13/ |
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