BMW
X1 / X2
forum
BMW Garage BMW Meets Register Today's Posts
BIMMERPOST Universal Forums Off-Topic Discussions Board Stock market tips and experiences

Post Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
      03-05-2013, 09:54 PM   #3191
mact3333
Captain
mact3333's Avatar
United_States
126
Rep
876
Posts

Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Portland Area

iTrader: (1)

Hope you guys do yourselves a favor and go to defcon 3-4 now....we will be making all time highs soon...mom and pop are are getting testy and feeling foolish they let this 4 yr bull get away from them and cant take it no more...money mkt mutual funds are being emptied out as we speak and being piled into the equity mkts...once we take out 1575 on SPX you will see a explosive rise to 1650-1700...then the bottom falls out...mark my words.

Please save this post...I have popcorn in hand already.

Once mom and pop enter, the top is always near...will be pulling the kids 529 money out of mkts and into money mkt within next few wks...dont need to try to catch that last 5-10% of the rally...one thing for sure, it comes down 10 times as fast as it goes up and most will be too dumbfounded to react quickly enough when it happens.

A year from now, the sentiment will have definitely have changed.

Anyone that has followed my posts in the past with respect to the big picture anyway knows whether I have been accurate or not....I called for all time highs a long time ago when many werent that super bullish...the opposite will hold true this time.

Watch the news within the next few wks to a month...you will see euphoria on epic scale on CNBC and the talking heads will be crying out "this mkt cant be stopped"...wherever you feel euphoric from big gains and the last thing you want to do is sell, well that is usually a good time to sell.

Not sure what the news will be to start the selling later this yr...I say later this yr and not a month from now cause when we enter a bear, volatility will start to rise sharply on up and down days...day ranges will expand from 1530 pt's a day to 30-40...watch for it.

Bottoms tend to be a point, tops are choppy zig zags until it finally gives way.

And dont ask me where the ultimate bottom will be ...you guys can figure that out but know it wont be pretty.
Appreciate 0
      03-06-2013, 12:09 AM   #3192
Vanity
Private First Class
Vanity's Avatar
Canada
281
Rep
123
Posts

Drives: BMW E90 LCI
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: BC, Canada

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
Hope you guys do yourselves a favor and go to defcon 3-4 now....we will be making all time highs soon...mom and pop are are getting testy and feeling foolish they let this 4 yr bull get away from them and cant take it no more...money mkt mutual funds are being emptied out as we speak and being piled into the equity mkts...once we take out 1575 on SPX you will see a explosive rise to 1650-1700...then the bottom falls out...mark my words.

Please save this post...I have popcorn in hand already.

Once mom and pop enter, the top is always near...will be pulling the kids 529 money out of mkts and into money mkt within next few wks...dont need to try to catch that last 5-10% of the rally...one thing for sure, it comes down 10 times as fast as it goes up and most will be too dumbfounded to react quickly enough when it happens.

A year from now, the sentiment will have definitely have changed.

Anyone that has followed my posts in the past with respect to the big picture anyway knows whether I have been accurate or not....I called for all time highs a long time ago when many werent that super bullish...the opposite will hold true this time.

Watch the news within the next few wks to a month...you will see euphoria on epic scale on CNBC and the talking heads will be crying out "this mkt cant be stopped"...wherever you feel euphoric from big gains and the last thing you want to do is sell, well that is usually a good time to sell.

Not sure what the news will be to start the selling later this yr...I say later this yr and not a month from now cause when we enter a bear, volatility will start to rise sharply on up and down days...day ranges will expand from 1530 pt's a day to 30-40...watch for it.

Bottoms tend to be a point, tops are choppy zig zags until it finally gives way.

And dont ask me where the ultimate bottom will be ...you guys can figure that out but know it wont be pretty.
I'm curious to know what you have to reinforce this view. Not that I disagree, Mact, but these types of posts need more filler details otherwise they'll come off in a "fear-mongering" way to others.

My view is we see a whipsaw most of March, perhaps a sizeable (10%) decline from there (April?), followed by a run to all-time highs (could be your 1650, who knows) for the rest of the year.
__________________
Appreciate 0
      03-06-2013, 12:55 PM   #3193
schoy
Major
997
Rep
1,003
Posts

Drives: Melbourne Red E90 M3
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: USA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vanity View Post
I'm curious to know what you have to reinforce this view. Not that I disagree, Mact, but these types of posts need more filler details otherwise they'll come off in a "fear-mongering" way to others.

My view is we see a whipsaw most of March, perhaps a sizeable (10%) decline from there (April?), followed by a run to all-time highs (could be your 1650, who knows) for the rest of the year.
I think this is the most interesting post so far. Two experts (well, experts compared to me) have two sufficiently distinct forecasts for the remainder of the year. I'd be interested to know is greater detail how you both come to your conclusions.
Appreciate 0
      03-07-2013, 10:39 PM   #3194
Hisam135i
Major
Hisam135i's Avatar
United_States
55
Rep
1,166
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Irvine, CA

iTrader: (0)

Got the upward daily stochastic crossover yesterday and got in at 1.3000
__________________
2008 Monaco Blue 335i | Terracotta | Premium | Auto | Comfort Access | Matte-black Grills | Carbon Fiber Splitters | 20% Tint | 1- point E9x Picture Game | Staggered 19' VMR V701 | Legal Disclaimer: My posts on this website cannot be held against me in any issues, such as warranty claims. |
Appreciate 0
      03-07-2013, 11:43 PM   #3195
Inspired
Colonel
Inspired's Avatar
156
Rep
2,368
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: California

iTrader: (2)

Looks like the bull run is still going. Financials are going strong especially with the stress report today.
Appreciate 0
      03-11-2013, 04:19 PM   #3196
PSUSMU
Captain
99
Rep
985
Posts

Drives: 2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Falls Church/Merrifield, VA

iTrader: (3)

Good day for BBRY and ZNGA. Glad I picked up more BBRY on Friday at 13.05.
Appreciate 0
      03-13-2013, 04:06 PM   #3197
PSUSMU
Captain
99
Rep
985
Posts

Drives: 2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Falls Church/Merrifield, VA

iTrader: (3)

GO BBRY GO
Appreciate 0
      03-14-2013, 02:27 PM   #3198
Hisam135i
Major
Hisam135i's Avatar
United_States
55
Rep
1,166
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Irvine, CA

iTrader: (0)

EUR/USD is stuck in a nice and wide trading range from low 1.29 to 1.3075, been making a killing trading off 1 and 4 hour bars via stochastic and averages!
__________________
2008 Monaco Blue 335i | Terracotta | Premium | Auto | Comfort Access | Matte-black Grills | Carbon Fiber Splitters | 20% Tint | 1- point E9x Picture Game | Staggered 19' VMR V701 | Legal Disclaimer: My posts on this website cannot be held against me in any issues, such as warranty claims. |
Appreciate 0
      03-17-2013, 08:02 PM   #3199
slamako
Metal cutter
slamako's Avatar
Canada
15
Rep
97
Posts

Drives: 135i 08 6MT Sed Red Met.
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Ontario Canada

iTrader: (0)

@Hisam135i...you're going to have a field day (week) thanks to Cyprus!
This week should be fun!
Appreciate 0
      03-18-2013, 02:07 AM   #3200
Hisam135i
Major
Hisam135i's Avatar
United_States
55
Rep
1,166
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Irvine, CA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by slamako
@Hisam135i...you're going to have a field day (week) thanks to Cyprus!
This week should be fun!
Already am eur/usd closed on Friday at 1.3075 (1 day after my post above) and is now at 1.2888 now looking for a rally to occur over night from these levels probably back to 1.3000ish IF we get a stochastic cross on 4hr at either 12am pst or 4am pst. I've been mostly trading off 4hr bars and its way less stressful and more accurate.
__________________
2008 Monaco Blue 335i | Terracotta | Premium | Auto | Comfort Access | Matte-black Grills | Carbon Fiber Splitters | 20% Tint | 1- point E9x Picture Game | Staggered 19' VMR V701 | Legal Disclaimer: My posts on this website cannot be held against me in any issues, such as warranty claims. |
Appreciate 0
      03-18-2013, 09:30 AM   #3201
Hisam135i
Major
Hisam135i's Avatar
United_States
55
Rep
1,166
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Irvine, CA

iTrader: (0)

We ended up rallying to 1.2975


Edit:

And now up to 1.2994 which I like to call 1.3000ish

Hope some others got in on this!
__________________
2008 Monaco Blue 335i | Terracotta | Premium | Auto | Comfort Access | Matte-black Grills | Carbon Fiber Splitters | 20% Tint | 1- point E9x Picture Game | Staggered 19' VMR V701 | Legal Disclaimer: My posts on this website cannot be held against me in any issues, such as warranty claims. |
Appreciate 0
      03-18-2013, 08:52 PM   #3202
Inspired
Colonel
Inspired's Avatar
156
Rep
2,368
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: California

iTrader: (2)

Who's long AAPL now? trend reversal confirmed
Appreciate 0
      03-19-2013, 01:26 AM   #3203
Hisam135i
Major
Hisam135i's Avatar
United_States
55
Rep
1,166
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Irvine, CA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Inspired
Who's long AAPL now? trend reversal confirmed
I would give some advice but I'm strictly trading forex now, do mind giving an analysis for it and explaining the trend reversal?
__________________
2008 Monaco Blue 335i | Terracotta | Premium | Auto | Comfort Access | Matte-black Grills | Carbon Fiber Splitters | 20% Tint | 1- point E9x Picture Game | Staggered 19' VMR V701 | Legal Disclaimer: My posts on this website cannot be held against me in any issues, such as warranty claims. |
Appreciate 0
      03-19-2013, 01:54 AM   #3204
Inspired
Colonel
Inspired's Avatar
156
Rep
2,368
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: California

iTrader: (2)

There was a gap fill to about $419-420. It held $419 and reversed from $419. Consolidated for a bit and break out with volume over the 50MA. We can't say for sure that it will hold these level longer term but this is a nice swing trade judging by the charts
Appreciate 0
      03-20-2013, 09:13 PM   #3205
Hisam135i
Major
Hisam135i's Avatar
United_States
55
Rep
1,166
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Irvine, CA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Inspired
There was a gap fill to about $419-420. It held $419 and reversed from $419. Consolidated for a bit and break out with volume over the 50MA. We can't say for sure that it will hold these level longer term but this is a nice swing trade judging by the charts
Is it me or is apple behaving weirdly. It seems big guys are using apple as a hedge, every time market falls apples up and every time market is up apple is down? Seem odd to anyone?
__________________
2008 Monaco Blue 335i | Terracotta | Premium | Auto | Comfort Access | Matte-black Grills | Carbon Fiber Splitters | 20% Tint | 1- point E9x Picture Game | Staggered 19' VMR V701 | Legal Disclaimer: My posts on this website cannot be held against me in any issues, such as warranty claims. |
Appreciate 0
      03-20-2013, 11:29 PM   #3206
M5Rlz
Colonel
253
Rep
2,203
Posts

Drives: R8, f10m59(Rip), m4, GTR
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: MD

iTrader: (3)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hisam135i View Post
Is it me or is apple behaving weirdly. It seems big guys are using apple as a hedge, every time market falls apples up and every time market is up apple is down? Seem odd to anyone?
Yes. They're having me sit on mine.
Appreciate 0
      03-20-2013, 11:41 PM   #3207
Inspired
Colonel
Inspired's Avatar
156
Rep
2,368
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: California

iTrader: (2)

SPX, DJI bouncing on light volume. Market is feeling toppy to me..We might see a correction very soon..

I'm starting to scaling in on GLD and SLV. Looks like it is ready to bounce...
Appreciate 0
      03-22-2013, 10:22 AM   #3208
mact3333
Captain
mact3333's Avatar
United_States
126
Rep
876
Posts

Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Portland Area

iTrader: (1)

Still in BBRY at 10.75...FB 24...AAPL 445...AGQ 38

Who is with me?...anyone?...

There is still alot of time left to make money on long side before the big big collapse.
Appreciate 0
      03-22-2013, 12:40 PM   #3209
nittany
shortstop
nittany's Avatar
74
Rep
158
Posts

Drives: 2023 M2
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Seattle

iTrader: (12)

Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
Still in BBRY at 10.75...FB 24...AAPL 445...AGQ 38

Who is with me?...anyone?...

There is still alot of time left to make money on long side before the big big collapse.
I'm with you on AAPL...hope they announce a huge dividend spike.
Appreciate 0
      03-22-2013, 02:26 PM   #3210
Inspired
Colonel
Inspired's Avatar
156
Rep
2,368
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: California

iTrader: (2)

Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
Still in BBRY at 10.75...FB 24...AAPL 445...AGQ 38

Who is with me?...anyone?...

There is still alot of time left to make money on long side before the big big collapse.
BBRY sold today at 16.60. FB bought in at $27.90 sold for a loss at $27 last week. Waiting for a bigger pull back on FB before I go long

AAPL in at $452
Appreciate 0
      03-22-2013, 04:11 PM   #3211
PSUSMU
Captain
99
Rep
985
Posts

Drives: 2008 Porsche 911 Carrera S
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Falls Church/Merrifield, VA

iTrader: (3)

Humiliating day for BBRY, but still long and strong.
__________________
RSI, LLC | Fender Rolling | Suspension | Engine | Other Stuff
Appreciate 0
      03-22-2013, 05:17 PM   #3212
Hisam135i
Major
Hisam135i's Avatar
United_States
55
Rep
1,166
Posts

Drives: 335i
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Irvine, CA

iTrader: (0)

This week has Been an amazing week in fx trading off of a 4 hour stoch def works for me
__________________
2008 Monaco Blue 335i | Terracotta | Premium | Auto | Comfort Access | Matte-black Grills | Carbon Fiber Splitters | 20% Tint | 1- point E9x Picture Game | Staggered 19' VMR V701 | Legal Disclaimer: My posts on this website cannot be held against me in any issues, such as warranty claims. |
Appreciate 0
Post Reply

Bookmarks


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:11 PM.




u11
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
1Addicts.com, BIMMERPOST.com, E90Post.com, F30Post.com, M3Post.com, ZPost.com, 5Post.com, 6Post.com, 7Post.com, XBimmers.com logo and trademark are properties of BIMMERPOST