Stock market tips and experiences

mact3333 · 10-25-2014, 12:07 PM

Cant say I am buying this rally...could see 10 more pts higher on SPX but then selling resumes...if we don't reverse this week then theory all wrong and bull back on.

The expanded daily range, increased volatility and Dow swinging over 100 pts/day happens during IT bears not bulls(although you can see it at very beginnings of bulls).

This week the moment of truth for me.

BimmerPod · 10-26-2014, 06:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mact3333

Cant say I am buying this rally...could see 10 more pts higher on SPX but then selling resumes...if we don't reverse this week then theory all wrong and bull back on.

The expanded daily range, increased volatility and Dow swinging over 100 pts/day happens during IT bears not bulls(although you can see it at very beginnings of bulls).

This week the moment of truth for me.

+1

Intra day volatility and large swings are worrisome indeed

mact3333 · 10-28-2014, 11:39 AM

today is the moment of truth...if my theory correct we need to reverse today or tomorrow...otherwise I was wrong(I was thinking low 1800's for the bottom but maybe 1850ish is all we get) and we already had the bottom.

So next few days will be telling for me.

F1Venom · 10-28-2014, 04:57 PM

What a massive rally.

MrPrena · 10-28-2014, 08:05 PM

High P/E stock earnings won't look good. I bet 8/10 won't be good.
yelp, twtr, fb, amzn, tsla, etc etc etc.

NemesisX · 10-28-2014, 10:24 PM

Prena what are your thoughts on TVIX? The greedy and reckless part of me wants to get back in sometime soon, but the rational side of me says that I'm not going to get lucky twice unless I actually know what I'm doing (which I don't).

I'll probably chicken out and stay on the sidelines either way

F1Venom · 10-28-2014, 10:48 PM

I had a ton of spy dec 195c I bought 12 days ago at $2.00. I sold them at $2.25 that next day. I think they're over $10 now. Fml.

MrPrena · 10-29-2014, 12:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NemesisX

Prena what are your thoughts on TVIX? The greedy and reckless part of me wants to get back in sometime soon, but the rational side of me says that I'm not going to get lucky twice unless I actually know what I'm doing (which I don't).

I'll probably chicken out and stay on the sidelines either way

First, Congrats on your s&p500 voli index fund trade!

I agree with most of people here on the market movement, except few.
Even IF S&P500 recovers Nearly Upto the highs, High beta and/or High P/E , maybe rus2000 stocks will most likely not recover as much relative to increase % of S&P500.

TVIX can be a good place to get into , IF this upcoming holiday sales slumps.
TVIX is a better trade than those bear index funds when it is at or near or little after relative max.
I think your trade on volatility index fund trading prior to OCT was little early, but smarter move than what I did.

People who are on the sideline needs to get back into some sort of investing. Happens to be that high dividends paying, low p/e, < 1.5beta, and buyback companies are mainly recovering in this rally.

I am mainly on the sideline, except the small quantity of AMD shares I acquired. Now, let me go inside the closet and

F1Venom · 10-29-2014, 02:42 PM

So is QE over? Can precious metals finally flush 10-20% in the coming weeks to signal an end to their bear market?

blankstar43 · 10-29-2014, 04:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by F1Venom

So is QE over? Can precious metals finally flush 10-20% in the coming weeks to signal an end to their bear market?

QE is over but rates should remain low, can't speak on the metals

SLOWER · 10-30-2014, 10:17 AM

TWTR a buy? I had my eye on it looking to get in at $45. Nearly $40 now, not sure how much further it will go.

MetsFan · 10-30-2014, 10:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SLOWER

TWTR a buy? I had my eye on it looking to get in at $45. Nearly $40 now, not sure how much further it will go.

I was tempted as well but I'm waiting for it to hit $38 before I dive in. I don't have any technical analysis on it though.

Tim Cook comes out and stockholders go crazy. Keep dropping so I can load up some more.

F1Venom · 10-30-2014, 11:56 AM

Precious metals crashing just as I predicted. You need a mega flush to put in a bottom on these things as they've been in a bear market for many years.

MrPrena · 10-30-2014, 04:56 PM

AMD up over 14.70% AH 3.18?

No news, nothing. What is going on?

4:56PM ET

Myrder · 10-30-2014, 05:21 PM

GoPro continues to surprise me.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/gopro-...202114830.html
up 7.5% AH

MrPrena · 10-30-2014, 05:39 PM

Taser Intl with good sales rev from Axiom.
I am not too excited with their Taser X2 and X3 series, but Axiom and cloud service would be a winner after Furgeson ordeal.

F1Venom · 10-30-2014, 06:52 PM

Haha. I live just ten miles from ferguson.

F1Venom · 10-31-2014, 10:33 AM

There go PMs again... I'm not entering longs yet though.

F1Venom · 10-31-2014, 11:13 AM

Metals are more interesting than indices, IMO.

MetsFan · 11-03-2014, 10:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by F1Venom

I have $110 as resistance. If it breaks above that then watch for a parabolic rise to the upside. Otherwise it could sell off into the $90s.

Almost there...

SuperBmw · 11-03-2014, 05:45 PM

Hoping APPL breaks 110 sometime this week, otherwise I might sell off all my shares.

Also holding onto BIDU right now and looking to sell very soon.

October has been a very good month for me actually, my portfolios net worth is at an all time high and that kind of makes me want to sell off and reassess things.

fritzz · 11-03-2014, 06:25 PM

curious to see how the marijuana companies move tomorrow..

10-25-2014, 12:07 PM	#4599
mact3333 Captain 126 Rep 876 Posts Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82 Join Date: Mar 2011 Location: Portland Area iTrader: (1)	Cant say I am buying this rally...could see 10 more pts higher on SPX but then selling resumes...if we don't reverse this week then theory all wrong and bull back on. The expanded daily range, increased volatility and Dow swinging over 100 pts/day happens during IT bears not bulls(although you can see it at very beginnings of bulls). This week the moment of truth for me.
	Appreciate 0 Quote

10-28-2014, 11:39 AM	#4601
mact3333 Captain 126 Rep 876 Posts Drives: 16' YMB/Blk F82 Join Date: Mar 2011 Location: Portland Area iTrader: (1)	today is the moment of truth...if my theory correct we need to reverse today or tomorrow...otherwise I was wrong(I was thinking low 1800's for the bottom but maybe 1850ish is all we get) and we already had the bottom. So next few days will be telling for me.
	Appreciate 0 Quote

10-28-2014, 04:57 PM	#4602
F1Venom Banned 76 Rep 961 Posts Drives: ZCP E90 M3 Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: USA iTrader: (0)	What a massive rally.
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10-28-2014, 08:05 PM	#4603
MrPrena Captain 1590 Rep 803 Posts Drives: BMW Hyundai Nissan Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: TB iTrader: (0)	High P/E stock earnings won't look good. I bet 8/10 won't be good. yelp, twtr, fb, amzn, tsla, etc etc etc. __________________ Beware of Jeff Oliver the fraud at Highland Expedition Outfitters (aka HEO or HEOutfitters) located in Cosby TN.
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10-28-2014, 10:24 PM	#4604
NemesisX Captain 321 Rep 905 Posts Drives: '19 Infiniti Q60S Join Date: Jul 2009 Location: TX iTrader: (0)	Prena what are your thoughts on TVIX? The greedy and reckless part of me wants to get back in sometime soon, but the rational side of me says that I'm not going to get lucky twice unless I actually know what I'm doing (which I don't). I'll probably chicken out and stay on the sidelines either way
	Appreciate 0 Quote

10-28-2014, 10:48 PM	#4605
F1Venom Banned 76 Rep 961 Posts Drives: ZCP E90 M3 Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: USA iTrader: (0)	I had a ton of spy dec 195c I bought 12 days ago at $2.00. I sold them at $2.25 that next day. I think they're over $10 now. Fml.
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10-29-2014, 02:42 PM	#4607
F1Venom Banned 76 Rep 961 Posts Drives: ZCP E90 M3 Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: USA iTrader: (0)	So is QE over? Can precious metals finally flush 10-20% in the coming weeks to signal an end to their bear market?
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10-30-2014, 10:17 AM	#4609
SLOWER Lieutenant Colonel 311 Rep 1,733 Posts Drives: 2003 M3 Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: MA iTrader: (8) Garage List 2024 BMW X5 M60i [0.00] 2003 M3 Convertible [0.00]	TWTR a buy? I had my eye on it looking to get in at $45. Nearly $40 now, not sure how much further it will go.
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10-30-2014, 11:56 AM	#4611
F1Venom Banned 76 Rep 961 Posts Drives: ZCP E90 M3 Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: USA iTrader: (0)	Precious metals crashing just as I predicted. You need a mega flush to put in a bottom on these things as they've been in a bear market for many years.
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10-30-2014, 04:56 PM	#4612
MrPrena Captain 1590 Rep 803 Posts Drives: BMW Hyundai Nissan Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: TB iTrader: (0)	AMD up over 14.70% AH 3.18? No news, nothing. What is going on? 4:56PM ET __________________ Beware of Jeff Oliver the fraud at Highland Expedition Outfitters (aka HEO or HEOutfitters) located in Cosby TN.
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10-30-2014, 05:21 PM	#4613
Myrder Major 164 Rep 1,264 Posts Drives: 2010 E92 335i MSport 6MT LMB Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: WildWest iTrader: (1)	GoPro continues to surprise me. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/gopro-...202114830.html up 7.5% AH __________________ 2010\|335i\|LMB\|E92\|6MT\|MSport\|Logic7\|335is Clutch\|AE Performance\|BMS\|Walbro\|VRSF 7"\| 149.7mph NFZ AZ 1/2mi 1992\|Pontiac Firebird\|Mild 355ci\|T56\| -I will look on your treasures, gypsy. Is this understood?-
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10-30-2014, 05:39 PM	#4614
MrPrena Captain 1590 Rep 803 Posts Drives: BMW Hyundai Nissan Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: TB iTrader: (0)	Taser Intl with good sales rev from Axiom. I am not too excited with their Taser X2 and X3 series, but Axiom and cloud service would be a winner after Furgeson ordeal. __________________ Beware of Jeff Oliver the fraud at Highland Expedition Outfitters (aka HEO or HEOutfitters) located in Cosby TN.
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10-30-2014, 06:52 PM	#4615
F1Venom Banned 76 Rep 961 Posts Drives: ZCP E90 M3 Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: USA iTrader: (0)	Haha. I live just ten miles from ferguson.
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10-31-2014, 10:33 AM	#4616
F1Venom Banned 76 Rep 961 Posts Drives: ZCP E90 M3 Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: USA iTrader: (0)	There go PMs again... I'm not entering longs yet though.
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10-31-2014, 11:13 AM	#4617
F1Venom Banned 76 Rep 961 Posts Drives: ZCP E90 M3 Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: USA iTrader: (0)	Metals are more interesting than indices, IMO.
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11-03-2014, 05:45 PM	#4619
SuperBmw Lieutenant 71 Rep 511 Posts Drives: 07 E92 335i Join Date: Dec 2010 Location: Toronto iTrader: (5)	Hoping APPL breaks 110 sometime this week, otherwise I might sell off all my shares. Also holding onto BIDU right now and looking to sell very soon. October has been a very good month for me actually, my portfolios net worth is at an all time high and that kind of makes me want to sell off and reassess things.
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11-03-2014, 06:25 PM	#4620
fritzz New Member 0 Rep 10 Posts Drives: Supra Join Date: Jun 2013 Location: Fl iTrader: (0)	curious to see how the marijuana companies move tomorrow..
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